Read The Line
Wyndham Championship 2024 picks: Our PGA pro reveals favorite bet for weather-impacted week
The Wyndham Championship might get plagued by weather, but in all the fuss over wave advantages and wind, do not lose sight of what is most important this week. The previous 10 winners have gained a combined 12 strokes (on average) versus the field with their flatstick and iron game. Sedgefield Country Club is a birdie battleground. Those same 10 champions averaged over 24 sub-par scores (birdie or better) en route to victory. In a race to 20-under par in Greensboro, you better have plenty of birdies packed along with a really good rainsuit.
Based upon the current forecast, the field of 156 FedEx Cup hopefuls probably will not even play on Thursday. It’s predicted that over five inches of rain will fall, along with strong wind. Once the storm somewhat subsides there will be soft conditions for the competition. This will turn the green surfaces into target practice. The proximity leaders on the PGA Tour will have a huge advantage. The largest gains on these Donald Ross-designed greens over the past decade come in the 10-15 foot range. Take the best approach players and filter for mid-range “makes” with the putter, and you have a good beginning to your betting card.
There’s a secret, if you only filter for the skills, you’re missing a major edge in scoring to see who can really separate.
Watch the below video with Read The Line and SportsGrid for PGA professional Keith Stewart's full Wyndham Championship betting anaylsis:
Specific par scoring makes a huge difference. Sedgefield Country Club is a par-70 layout—with two less par 5s, and two more par 4s it favors certain players in the field. If you believe in course history, then this really makes sense. The final filter comes on the ground. Bermudagrass is a weed. It’s gnarly off the fairway, sticky around the green and grainy as a lagging YouTube video on the putting surface. Stick with the most important skills, and you will see a simple betting solution. The best approach player, with Bermuda putting on a par-70 course in the current field, is Lucas Glover.
Glover won the 2023 Wyndham Championship at 20-under par. You literally cannot make this up. By paying attention to the most specific skills needed to separate, you can build a profitable betting card. The next two players on that list are Eric Cole and Adam Svensson. I took Cole on Monday when the odds board opened at 70-1 (Monday Odds Drop). His number is now 55-1! Looks like we’re not the only ones who favor Cole’s chances…
The third name brings me to today’s play. I’m adding Adam Svensson to my Read the Line outright betting card at 100-1. The 2022 RSM Classic winner is excellent on Bermudagrass and gaining an average of four strokes tee to green over his past five starts. The Canadian is 82nd on the FEC points list, so he needs a winning week to make a serious playoff run. Opportunity happens when the course aligns perfectly with characteristics. Svensson is a ball-striking machine and in soft conditions has the skills needed to win at the Wyndham.
More from Golf Digest
Looking for insider golf betting knowledge? Subscribe to Read The Line for Stewart's weekly picks.
Keith Stewart is a five-time award-winning PGA professional, a betting contributor and content partner with Golf Digest and founder of Read The Line, the premier on-site live golf betting insights service covering the LPGA and PGA Tour. Subscribe to Read The Line’s weekly newsletter here and raise your golf betting acumen. Keith's winning content can also be found on SportsGrid, Bleacher Report and The Sporting News. Follow him on Twitter @readtheline_.